ENCI Scenario Process

Collaborative Scenario Creation Processes for Germany and France

- Involving Stakeholders in Energy Scenario Development

One of the main activities of ENCI LowCarb Project was the development and the application of a methodology for the transparent integration of stakeholders’ contributions in the scenario design to enhance the stakeholders’ acceptance of the resulting low carbon pathways. This attempt at integrating the aspect of acceptability in the scenario design constitutes an important step in distinguishing what is technically and economically feasible from what is socially and politically acceptable.

The project hypothesis consisted in stating that if national stakeholders can recognize their contributions in the resulting scenarios (even if those were amended by the contributions of others); they would eventually be more supportive of this scenario than in a case where a non-transparent procedure was followed.

The collaborative scenario design process that was applied within the project included the participation of a wide range of stakeholders (civil society organizations including trade unions and non-governmental organizations, private companies, banks, state and local authorities). Participating stakeholders were asked to define or select acceptable CO2 emissions mitigation measures and their contributions were implemented in the energy economic model Imaclim-R France and REMIND-D respectively to create scenarios that are economically and technically consistent as well as acceptable by stakeholders.

Read a Summary
(1 page 61 kB)

The Collaborative Process involved the Following steps:
  Researcher / NGO Cooperation -
Team Building [LINK]
  Expert Workshops [LINK]
  Selection of Stakeholders [LINK]
Stakeholder Dialogue Meetings, the Translation of Stakeholder Contributions into Modelling Parameters, and a Comparison [LINK]

The Scenario Creation Process also Involved:
  General Elements of a Scenario Development Process (Definition of Targets for 2050, Global Vision) [LINK]
Use of  Energy - Economy Models (Imaclim-R France and REMIND-D), and a Comparison [LINK]

The Results from the Process Included:
  The Low Carbon Scenarios Developed for France and Germany, their Roles during the Stakeholder Processes, and a Comparison [LINK]
  Joint Conclusions and Lessons Learned from the project [LINK] 


The Project is ended in 2012,
but the collection of scenarios
is continued being updated:

Check out the New European
CLEVER Scenario, June 2023:

Regional Scenarios

National Scenarios

Global Scenarios

News from Project (2009-12)

•  March 15, 2012
Paris, France
Final Conference

• Newsletter No.9, March 2012March, 2012
Newsletter # 9